Phase 1 Beta · 30 seats

Built for Farm Advisors · Hedge Advisors · Merchandisers · Ingredient Buyers · Active Ag Traders · Analysts

Every ag-research tool you use, in one terminal.

USDA and CONAB Brazil Fundamentals, county-level weather, CFTC positioning, market news, and probabilistic ML forecasts fused into a single research surface. Queried in plain English. Updated every night.

26 of 30 seats remaining · beta closes when full

ZCN26 · CORN · signals view

20d probability cone

Probability cone forecast for corn futures

~11.0M

rows curated

8 SRC

USDA · CONAB · NOAA · CFTC · EIA · news · price · ML

< 30s

to a research brief

Nightly

refresh · pre-market

01 · The stack

Eight feeds. One cursor.

Stop juggling Bloomberg tabs, DTN logins, USDA PDFs, and five spreadsheets. Every dataset a physical-commodity analyst actually touches. Unified, Versioned, and Queryable.

06 modules shipping in Phase 1

ML Signals · Flagship 01 / 06

Probabilistic forecasts you can actually defend.

20-day price cones with calibrated confidence bands. Every forecast ships with the features that drove it. Weather anomalies, USDA z-score deviations, COT positioning flips. Stress-test the call before it hits the desk.

Fundamentals 02 / 06

USDA, WASDE, stocks-to-use, CROP PROGRESS, CONAB.

Historical WASDE, revisions, ending-stocks ratio, planting progress, and many more. No CSV dumps.

Weather 03 / 06

County-level anomaly overlays.

Precip, GDD, and drought indices rendered against growing-region boundaries.

Positioning 04 / 06

CFTC COT, unpacked.

Managed-money net positioning with context: percentile vs. 5-year, rate-of-change, concentration ratios.

News + Sentiment 05 / 06

Signal from the firehose.

Ag-commodity newsflow, deduplicated and scored. Surface what moved markets, not what trended.

Trade Research · AI Agent 06 / 06

Ask in plain English. Get a research brief with sources.

"Should I be worried about the Brazilian safrinha?" returns a structured brief with weather overlays, export pace, positioning, and counter-arguments. Every number traceable to its source table.

02 · Live query

Plain English in. Research out.

No query language. No lookup tables. Type your prompt and watch the terminal pull from every module at once.

▸ Try a prompt

dirty-arbitrage · research.session

03 · How it works

Three steps. No pipeline to build.

STEP 01

Ask in English.

Type a question the way you'd ask a senior analyst. No SQL, no tickers, no date ranges to remember.

Natural-language intent parsing

Commodity + geography auto-resolved

Follow-ups keep context

STEP 02

We fuse eight datasets.

The agent decides which modules to pull from, joins across them, and resolves contradictions — the way a human analyst would, but in seconds.

USDA · NOAA · CFTC · CONAB

Price history + news + ML

Nightly refresh, pre-market

STEP 03

Ship a research brief.

A structured answer with charts, sources, and counter-arguments. Save your research to the Calendar or export as PDF for the investment committee.

Every number traceable

Charts export clean

Shareable permalinks

04 · Versus the stack you have

What's different.

We're not replacing your OMS or your execution rails. We're replacing the research workflow that lives across twelve browser tabs.

Capability

Bloomberg / DTN

Spreadsheets + PDFs

Dirty Arbitrage

Plain-English queries

— No

✓ Native

County-level weather overlays

~ Zip avg

~ Manual

✓ Built-in

Probabilistic ML forecasts

— No

✓ Calibrated cones

Cross-dataset joins

~ Terminal functions

~ VLOOKUP hell

✓ Automatic

Per-seat cost

$$$$ / yr

Hidden (analyst hours)

Fraction of terminal

05 · Pricing

Three tiers. One terminal.

From a single prosumer seat to a full institutional desk. Every plan is the same terminal — tiers unlock depth of data, the predictive layer, and how hard you can run Darby.

Analyst

$249 / mo

$2,490 billed annually

Every ag-market dataset you track, aggregated and queryable on one platform: fundamentals, weather, positioning, and news.

Includes
→Darby AI Analyst — plain-English research, 50 queries / mo
→Full WASDE supply & demand — balance sheets across all majors
→Multi-year overlays + backtests — 5 / 10 / 15-yr presets
→CFTC COT — Legacy, Disaggregated & Supplemental
→News + sentiment digest across 11 commodities
→ERA5 weather + US Drought Monitor with Corn Belt anomalies

Get Analyst

Flagship

Desk Pro

$499 / mo

$4,990 billed annually

Run your own commodity research desk without hiring the analyst.

Everything in Analyst, plus
→ML Signals — quantile forecasts & probability fan charts
→Unlimited Darby with auto-model escalation on complex queries
→Key Drivers (SHAP) + 30-yr historical analogs
→Predictive Modeling Catalog
→WASDE-day Decode — Darby's real-time read on release
→CONAB Brazil — balance sheet across all major commodities
→Weather analogs + animated crop-progress maps

Get Desk Pro →

Enterprise

Custom-quoted

Annual contract

For desks with multiple traders, merchandisers, and risk managers.

Everything in Desk Pro, plus
→3–10 seats with per-user access controls
→Custom commodity coverage on request
→White-label branded PDF reports

Talk to Sales

Founding beta cohort locks $149/mo for 3 months

Phase 1 · Closing when full

30 seats. Pick the ones that matter.

Beta partners shape the roadmap, lock in founder pricing, and get a direct line to the build team. We're prioritizing farm/hedge advisors, active traders, analysts, and research desks working in grains, oilseeds, softs, and livestock.

26 / 30 seats open

Phase 01

Or email us directly: info@dirtyarbitrage.com